Modeling the impact of climate change on tick population dynamics and tick-borne disease spread

dc.contributor.advisorWu, Jianhong
dc.contributor.advisorZhu, Huaiping
dc.contributor.advisorHeffernan, Jane
dc.creatorWu, Xiaotian
dc.date.accessioned2016-09-13T13:15:40Z
dc.date.available2016-09-13T13:15:40Z
dc.date.copyright2013-01
dc.degree.disciplineMathematics & Statistics
dc.degree.levelDoctoral
dc.degree.namePhD - Doctor of Philosophy
dc.description.abstractThere is increasing evidence that Lyme disease is an emerging threat for public health in Canada. In this dissertation, we study the impact of climate change on establishment/extinction of the Lyme disease tick vector Ixodes scapularis and Lyme pathogen Borrelia burgdorferi in the Canadian landscape by utilizing mathematical techniques and computer simulations. We develop principal mathematical frameworks using ordinary differential equations with periodic coefficients, partial differential equations with seasonality and a periodic system of delay differential equations with periodic delay. We develop analysis and tools to predict the long-term status of Lyme disease transmission dynamics in the vector population. We determine factors, which are of interest to public health policy makers, for Lyme disease prevention and control in Canada in varying environmental conditions. We provide the theoretical foundation of a risk map of Lyme disease in Canada.
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10315/32030
dc.rightsAuthor owns copyright, except where explicitly noted. Please contact the author directly with licensing requests.
dc.subject.keywordsclimate change
dc.subject.keywordstick population dynamics
dc.subject.keywordstick-borne diseases
dc.subject.keywordsLyme disease
dc.subject.keywordscomputer simulations
dc.subject.keywordsmathematical techniques
dc.subject.keywordsIxodes scapularis
dc.subject.keywordsBorrelia burgdorferi
dc.titleModeling the impact of climate change on tick population dynamics and tick-borne disease spread
dc.typeElectronic Thesis or Dissertation

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