Kogan, IrenaKosyakova, Yuliyavan Tubergen, Frank2026-04-182026-04-182025-07-07Kogan, I. ., Kosyakova, Y. ., & van Tubergen, F. . (2025). Staying, Leaving, or Returning? Conflict Resolution Preferences and Migration among Ukrainian Women. Studies of Transition States and Societies, 17, 117-145. https://doi.org/10.58036/stss.v17i0.13361736-8758https://doi.org/10.58036/stss.v17i0.1336https://hdl.handle.net/10315/43699This article is published under a Creative Commons CC-BY-NC-ND license.Little is known in the literature about non-economic factors that might shape migrant selectivity. This study examines how preferences for resolving the Russian-Ukrainian conflict relate to the migration patterns and intentions of Ukrainians following the Russian full-scale aggression. Drawing on the concepts of place utility and migration decision-making models, we analyse data from the OneUA survey, which was collected around six months after Russia’s full-scale invasion among almost 25,000 Ukrainian women residing in Ukraine and abroad. Our results, based on a series of logistic regressions, suggest that Ukrainian women favouring a military solution to the conflict are more likely to remain in their pre-war residence in Ukraine rather than being internally displaced (i.e., IDP) or moving abroad (i.e., refugees). Moreover, among women forced to leave the country as refugees, those who favour a military solution exhibit a stronger intention to return. Conversely, among women still in Ukraine, those who favour a military solution less are more likely to consider international migration. Our study advances research on self-selection into migration based on non-economic factors, emphasising the role of political perceptions in displacement and resettlement patterns in conflict-affected regions.Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internationalhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/StayersInternal displacementRefugeesMigration intentionsMigrant selectivityPolitical preferencesWomenUkraineArticle